{"id":512,"date":"2018-12-22T22:17:13","date_gmt":"2018-12-22T22:17:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mattersgraph.com\/?post_type=insight&#038;p=512"},"modified":"2026-04-09T01:30:56","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T01:30:56","slug":"discovering-repeatable-growth-in-your-diligence","status":"publish","type":"insight","link":"https:\/\/mattersgraph.com\/fr\/insights\/discovering-repeatable-growth-in-your-diligence\/","title":{"rendered":"014: Discovering Repeatable Growth in your Diligence"},"content":{"rendered":"<div  class=\"theme-block wp-block-group is-style-pull-left is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\" ><p  class=\"appear-on-scroll is-style-intro wp-block-paragraph\" >Over the years, I have heard multiple M&amp;A professionals say&nbsp;<em>\u201cwe don\u2019t underwrite hopes and dreams,\u201d&nbsp;<\/em>by which they mean new tactics proposed, but not tested, by Management (and their bankers). What is not discussed as often are the new tactics that have been tested\u2026but that are destined to work just once. These tactics are what we call unrepeatable growth stimulants, UGS (or just, \u201c<em>ughs<\/em>\u201d).<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll wp-block-paragraph\">We have seen multiple deals need to be renegotiated in the final stretch when the commercial due diligence (CDD) discovers unexpected&nbsp;<em>ughs<\/em>. For example, the management presentation might highlight recent growth in a segment of the business and cite a \u201cnew sales program.\u201d Sixty slides later, we learn that the growth associated with that \u201cnew sales program\u201d is almost entirely attributable to a single, major new customer account. Is this an inflection in the company\u2019s growth, or just an extraordinary and well-timed win with a single customer? In short, is it repeatable growth or an&nbsp;<em>ugh<\/em>?<\/p><\/div>\n\n<hr  class=\"appear-on-scroll wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n<h2  class=\"appear-on-scroll wp-block-heading\" ><span class=\"text\">The list of different\u00a0<em>ughs<\/em>\u00a0we have seen is varied and long:<\/span><\/h2>\n\n<ol  class=\"appear-on-scroll-children wp-block-list\" >\n<li>Channel mandates (e.g., Walmart requires its CPGs to do X) in the consumer goods space<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Regulatory changes in industrials and healthcare markets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Price increases in any competitive market<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Major customer wins in components businesses<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Enterprise customer wins in software and business services \u2013 and particularly with companies that have traditionally won with small customers, but manage to land an enterprise account<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Major channel or partner wins in retail or technology<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>New technologies in healthcare capital goods<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>One-time technology shifts \/ new regulations in industrial technology<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll wp-block-paragraph\">These are just a handful of the&nbsp;<em>ughs<\/em>&nbsp;we\u2019ve seen. Of course, some of the above have proven repeatable at times. Given that the difference between repeatable and unrepeatable growth can be the difference between a great deal and a dog, we have thought a lot about what clues suggest a tactic is repeatable.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>Repeatable tactics&nbsp;tend&nbsp;to share&nbsp;all&nbsp;the following characteristics. They:<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n<ol  class=\"appear-on-scroll-children wp-block-list\" >\n<li><em><strong>have proven themselves with a small number of customers but have not affected the whole base; and<\/strong><\/em><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em><strong>align with an area in which the target company has demonstrable strength; and<\/strong><\/em><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em><strong>increase in likelihood of success with each attempt.<\/strong><\/em><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll wp-block-paragraph\">Most deals have some&nbsp;<em>ughs&nbsp;<\/em>in them \u2013 the question is how many and how big. This is a key point where commercial due diligence separates from financial due diligence. The latter is good at identifying whether management has executed on plans to date, but only CDD seeks to analyze which elements of past performance might predict the future.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>The core question that suggests whether a past performance is repeatable is:<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>Do the motivations that made this growth stimulant successful to date exist in other unaddressed customers\u2026and&nbsp;can the business earn the \u201cright\u201d to address those motivations?<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll wp-block-paragraph\">You can use the quick diagnostic of repeatable tactics above as an initial sanity check, and if you think you might have spotted an&nbsp;<em>ugh<\/em>, then it is time to roll up your sleeves and dig in on investigating the core question.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"appear-on-scroll wp-block-paragraph\">When we see a deal with a recent growth inflection, we look for&nbsp;<em>ughs<\/em>. For each potential&nbsp;<em>ugh<\/em>, we investigate its repeatability. The good news is that the investigation occasionally suggests ways that a program can be changed to improve its repeatability and can become a powerful tool in the value gen plan necessary for winning and closing the deal.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Over the years, I have heard multiple M&amp;A professionals say&nbsp;\u201cwe don\u2019t underwrite hopes and dreams,\u201d&nbsp;by which they mean new tactics proposed, but not tested, by Management (and their bankers). What &hellip;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":[82],"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"featured_image_background_position":"","promoted":false,"promoted-priority":0,"footnotes":""},"sector":[],"topic":[83,92,90,50,89],"audience":[],"insight-category":[145],"class_list":["post-512","insight","type-insight","status-publish","hentry","topic-customer-loyalty","topic-customer-use-cases","topic-drivers-strengths-of-demand","topic-growth-rates","topic-market-conditions","insight-category-drivers-of-choice","author-jeff-merkle"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>014: Discovering Repeatable Growth in your Diligence - GRAPH Strategy LLC<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/mattersgraph.com\/fr\/insights\/discovering-repeatable-growth-in-your-diligence\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"014: Discovering Repeatable Growth in your Diligence - GRAPH Strategy LLC\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Over the years, I have heard multiple M&amp;A professionals say&nbsp;\u201cwe don\u2019t underwrite hopes and dreams,\u201d&nbsp;by which they mean new tactics proposed, but not tested, by Management (and their bankers). 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